At Providence, a shortwave trough interacting with a warm front from the southwest is expected to bring up to 1 inch of snow beginning Tue 7am, changing to all rain by 5pm, then possibly changing back to snow briefly before ending 11pm. Temperatures well above freezing, reaching 35°F in the afternoon, will prevent significant snow accumulation, and any snow will be washed away by rain.
Current probability in the metropolitan area is of at least 0.1in 81%, 1in 28%, 2in 4%, 4in near 0%. Areas far to the northwest of the city could see as much as 3 inches of snow.
Although there is some uncertainty in the timing, and the entire event may shift a few hours later, there is high confidence in the overall forecast and, as a result, there is no realistic possibility of this bringing a white Christmas.
Snow is next possible Thu night, changing to rain Fri, then snow and rain intermittently through Sun.
