At Providence, a significant nor’easter Tue is expected to bring almost entirely rain, heavy at times, with perhaps a sighting of the first snowflakes of this winter season but negligible accumulation. Early uncertainty in the forecast has resolved strongly toward an all-rain event, but minor changes to the predicted storm track, slightly northward or southward, could have major effects in terms of practical results.
Current probability in the metropolitan area is of at least 0.1in 15% and 1in near 0%. The most likely scenario is that trace amounts of snow may fall beginning Tue 9am before changing to rain, then trace amounts of snow ending 2am; temperatures Tue afternoon will be far too warm to allow accumulation, reaching 41°F.
After the snow and rain moves out early Wed, temperatures will plummet to lows of 11°F Thu night and 21°F Fri night. The next chance of snow will be Sat.
A Winter Storm Warning is in effect Tue 7am – Wed 7am for areas well to the northwest of RI, including Worcester and Springfield, where 6 – 12 inches is likely.
